SGI
INSIGHTS

SGI Insights & Analyses

In-depth analyses on systemic risk, sovereign debt and macroeconomic fragility based on official IMF, BIS and ECB data.

Methodology3 min read

What Does the SGI Index Measure?

A short explanation of the three pillars behind the SGI Index, and why systemic fragility is not the same as a recession forecast.

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Methodology4 min read

Why Private Debt Predicts Crises Better Than Public Debt

The news focuses on public debt. Twenty years of BIS and IMF research point to something else: private credit growth is historically the strongest predictor of financial crises.

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SGI Index

Macroeconomic research tool. 10 indicators, 45 countries, official data from IMF, BIS and ECB.

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Disclaimer: The information on this website is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice or any other form of advice. The SGI Index and all related analyses are based on public data and should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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